tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:02 LAS → 08:45 SEA
    AS 701 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 96% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:28 SEA → 14:40 LIH
    AS 258 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 11h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip11h 38mLAS 06:02 to LIH 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.