tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → New Orleans via Seattle: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:02 LAS → 08:45 SEA
    AS 701 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 96% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:37 SEA → 16:16 MSY
    AS 568 · Alaska · 4h 39m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 14mLAS 06:02 to MSY 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.