tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:02 LAS → 08:45 SEA
    AS 701 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 96% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 SEA → 13:01 PHX
    AS 593 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 59mLAS 06:02 to PHX 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.