tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Oakland via Seattle: arrives on time 58%

  1. 08:05 SNA → 10:55 SEA
    AS 702 · Alaska · 2h 50m · 92% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:41 SEA → 13:59 OAK
    AS 1328 · Alaska · 2h 18m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 54mSNA 08:05 to OAK 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.