tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:05 SNA → 10:55 SEA
    AS 702 · Alaska · 2h 50m · 92% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:44 SEA → 15:38 DEN
    AS 535 · Alaska · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 33mSNA 08:05 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.