tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 08:05 SNA → 10:55 SEA
    AS 702 · Alaska · 2h 50m · 92% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:42 SEA → 14:04 SFO
    AS 655 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 59mSNA 08:05 to SFO 14:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.