tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 08:05 SNA → 10:55 SEA
    AS 702 · Alaska · 2h 50m · 92% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 SEA → 15:31 SFO
    AS 680 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 26mSNA 08:05 to SFO 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.