tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 08:05 SNA → 10:55 SEA
    AS 702 · Alaska · 2h 50m · 92% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 SEA → 13:06 PDX
    AS 2181 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 01mSNA 08:05 to PDX 13:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.