tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 18:39 BUR → 21:20 SEA
    AS 703 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 SEA → 07:38 JFK +1 day
    AS 22 · Alaska · 5h 23m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 59mBUR 18:39 to JFK 07:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.