tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Honolulu via Las Vegas: arrives on time 84%

  1. 20:15 SEA → 22:55 LAS
    AS 704 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 01:55 LAS → 05:16 HNL +1 day
    AS 817 · Alaska · 6h 21m · 87% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 12h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip12h 01mSEA 20:15 to HNL 05:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.