tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Washington via Seattle: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:22 OAK → 12:26 SEA
    AS 705 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:46 SEA → 21:59 DCA
    AS 2 · Alaska · 5h 13m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 37mOAK 10:22 to DCA 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.