tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Dulles via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 10:22 OAK → 12:26 SEA
    AS 705 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:01 SEA → 23:59 IAD
    AS 406 · Alaska · 4h 58m · 81% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip10h 37mOAK 10:22 to IAD 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.