tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Ontario via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 10:22 OAK → 12:26 SEA
    AS 705 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:50 SEA → 16:30 ONT
    AS 571 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 52% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 08mOAK 10:22 to ONT 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.