tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Honolulu via Seattle: arrives on time 46%

  1. 10:22 OAK → 12:26 SEA
    AS 705 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 SEA → 16:34 HNL
    AS 899 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 53% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip9h 12mOAK 10:22 to HNL 16:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.