tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Philadelphia via Orlando: arrives on time 90%

  1. 21:06 SAN → 05:18 MCO
    AS 707 · Alaska · 5h 12m · 87% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:40 MCO → 11:16 PHL +1 day
    AA 629 · American · 2h 36m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 10mSAN 21:06 to PHL 11:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.