tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 58%

  1. 07:37 MCO → 09:37 SAN
    AS 708 · Alaska · 5h 00m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 SAN → 12:23 PHX
    AS 3023 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 63% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 46mMCO 07:37 to PHX 12:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.