tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Eugene via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 ORD → 08:38 SEA
    AS 715 · Alaska · 4h 38m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:30 SEA → 12:59 EUG
    DL 4149 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 29m · 88% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Eugene is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 59mORD 06:00 to EUG 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.