tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Billings via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 ORD → 08:38 SEA
    AS 715 · Alaska · 4h 38m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:09 SEA → 13:05 BIL
    AS 2054 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 56m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Billings is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 05mORD 06:00 to BIL 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.