tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 10:30 PDX → 13:20 PHX
    AS 716 · Alaska · 2h 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:05 PHX → 17:54 TUS
    AA 4126 · American, flown by Envoy · 49m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 24mPDX 10:30 to TUS 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.