tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Honolulu via Las Vegas: arrives on time 58%

  1. 07:25 SFO → 09:05 LAS
    AS 718 · Alaska · 1h 40m · 91% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 LAS → 13:29 HNL
    AS 807 · Alaska · 6h 24m · 65% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 04mSFO 07:25 to HNL 13:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.