tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → New Orleans via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 20:46 SLC → 22:12 SEA
    AS 719 · Alaska · 2h 26m · 65% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:13 SEA → 05:49 MSY +1 day
    AS 490 · Alaska · 4h 36m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 03mSLC 20:46 to MSY 05:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.