tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 10:10 BUR → 12:52 SEA
    AS 720 · Alaska · 2h 42m · 88% on time, 8.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:02 SEA → 22:29 JFK
    AS 16 · Alaska · 5h 27m · 63% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (8.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip9h 19mBUR 10:10 to JFK 22:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.