tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Ana via San Francisco: arrives on time 26%

  1. 07:03 SEA → 09:20 SFO
    AS 725 · Alaska · 2h 17m · 52% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:37 SFO → 12:16 SNA
    AS 560 · Alaska · 1h 39m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip5h 13mSEA 07:03 to SNA 12:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.