tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 16:00 SLC → 17:16 SEA
    AS 734 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 67% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 SEA → 21:00 LAS
    AS 478 · Alaska · 2h 39m · 75% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 00mSLC 16:00 to LAS 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.