tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:00 SLC → 17:16 SEA
    AS 734 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 67% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 SEA → 22:55 MSO
    AS 2154 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 25m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 55mSLC 16:00 to MSO 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.