tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Honolulu via Portland: arrives on time 39%

  1. 14:04 PHX → 16:46 PDX
    AS 742 · Alaska · 2h 42m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:32 PDX → 20:24 HNL
    AS 841 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip9h 20mPHX 14:04 to HNL 20:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.