tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Washington via Phoenix: arrives on time 84%

  1. 17:51 PDX → 20:37 PHX
    AS 746 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:52 PHX → 07:14 DCA +1 day
    AA 1542 · American · 4h 22m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip10h 23mPDX 17:51 to DCA 07:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.