tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 68%

  1. 10:36 PAE → 13:34 PHX
    AS 747 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:21 PHX → 18:40 SNA
    AA 2685 · American · 1h 19m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 04mPAE 10:36 to SNA 18:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.