tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 86%

  1. 10:36 PAE → 13:34 PHX
    AS 747 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:50 PHX → 17:27 LAX
    UA 5718 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 51mPAE 10:36 to LAX 17:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.