tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 48%

  1. 10:36 PAE → 13:34 PHX
    AS 747 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:13 PHX → 16:35 SAN
    AS 2028 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 59mPAE 10:36 to SAN 16:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.