tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Dulles via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 02:27 ANC → 06:58 SEA
    AS 75 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:13 SEA → 17:11 IAD
    AS 737 · Alaska · 4h 58m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 44mANC 02:27 to IAD 17:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.