tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 02:27 ANC → 06:58 SEA
    AS 75 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:29 SEA → 12:47 SFO
    UA 1482 · United · 2h 18m · 71% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip9h 20mANC 02:27 to SFO 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.