tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 52%

  1. 07:00 SNA → 09:24 PDX
    AS 750 · Alaska · 2h 24m · 96% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:42 PDX → 12:39 SFO
    AS 1445 · Alaska · 1h 57m · 55% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 39mSNA 07:00 to SFO 12:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.