tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Rosa via Las Vegas: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:45 PDX → 13:11 LAS
    AS 757 · Alaska · 2h 26m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:24 LAS → 17:16 STS
    AS 2458 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 52m · 80% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 31mPDX 10:45 to STS 17:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.