tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Philadelphia via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 17:38 SFO → 19:47 SEA
    AS 758 · Alaska · 2h 09m · 73% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:02 SEA → 06:13 PHL +1 day
    AS 522 · Alaska · 5h 11m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 35mSFO 17:38 to PHL 06:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.