tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Austin via Seattle: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:45 SNA → 17:32 SEA
    AS 760 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 88% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:19 SEA → 00:31 AUS +1 day
    AS 372 · Alaska · 4h 12m · 78% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 46mSNA 14:45 to AUS 00:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.