tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Newark via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 08:00 ANC → 12:35 SEA
    AS 765 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 SEA → 23:59 EWR
    AS 263 · Alaska · 5h 21m · 54% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip11h 59mANC 08:00 to EWR 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.