tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Dulles via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:00 ANC → 12:35 SEA
    AS 765 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:01 SEA → 23:59 IAD
    AS 406 · Alaska · 4h 58m · 81% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 11h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip11h 59mANC 08:00 to IAD 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.