tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:00 ANC → 12:35 SEA
    AS 765 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:44 SEA → 16:45 PHX
    AS 700 · Alaska · 3h 01m · 81% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 45mANC 08:00 to PHX 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.