tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New York via Pittsburgh: arrives on time 91%

  1. 22:37 SEA → 06:10 PIT
    AS 77 · Alaska · 4h 33m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Pittsburgh (PIT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:51 PIT → 10:30 JFK +1 day
    AA 4587 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 93% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 53mSEA 22:37 to JFK 10:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.