tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Atlanta via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 17:32 SNA → 20:20 SEA
    AS 774 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:31 SEA → 07:24 ATL +1 day
    AS 464 · Alaska · 4h 53m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 52mSNA 17:32 to ATL 07:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.