tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Baltimore via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 17:32 SNA → 20:20 SEA
    AS 774 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:36 SEA → 05:41 BWI +1 day
    AS 781 · Alaska · 5h 05m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 09mSNA 17:32 to BWI 05:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.