tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Detroit via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 17:32 SNA → 20:20 SEA
    AS 774 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:10 SEA → 06:27 DTW +1 day
    DL 810 · Delta · 4h 17m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 55mSNA 17:32 to DTW 06:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.