tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 89%

  1. 17:32 SNA → 20:20 SEA
    AS 774 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 45mSNA 17:32 to MSP 05:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.