tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via Las Vegas: arrives on time 74%

  1. 15:49 SFO → 17:30 LAS
    AS 776 · Alaska · 1h 41m · 63% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 LAS → 22:30 PAE
    AS 366 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 41mSFO 15:49 to PAE 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.