tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → San Diego via Las Vegas: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:00 PAE → 09:32 LAS
    AS 777 · Alaska · 2h 32m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:11 LAS → 12:29 SAN
    AS 2416 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 18m · 65% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 29mPAE 07:00 to SAN 12:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.