tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 67%

  1. 07:00 PAE → 09:32 LAS
    AS 777 · Alaska · 2h 32m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:30 LAS → 13:12 SFO
    UA 574 · United · 1h 42m · 69% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 12mPAE 07:00 to SFO 13:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.