tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 47%

  1. 14:46 PDX → 17:06 LAS
    AS 778 · Alaska · 2h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:03 LAS → 19:41 SFO
    AS 634 · Alaska · 1h 38m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 55mPDX 14:46 to SFO 19:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.