tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 95%

  1. 21:36 SEA → 05:41 BWI
    AS 781 · Alaska · 5h 05m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:30 BWI → 11:00 TPA +1 day
    WN 1120 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip10h 24mSEA 21:36 to TPA 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.