tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 11:30 LAS → 14:14 SEA
    AS 785 · Alaska · 2h 44m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 18mLAS 11:30 to SFO 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.